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Twitter reaction doesn’t reflect public opinion: Research

Twitter reaction doesn’t reflect public opinion: Research

Media shops throughout the usa ceaselessly use social media websites like Twitter to gauge the public’s opinion. But a new study from the Pew Research Heart has discovered that how individuals react on Twitter is incessantly at odds with overall public opinion, leaving American information outlets presenting a skewed truth of how the general public truly feels, media specialists informed RIA Novosti.

“So Much of the difference may have to do with both the slim sliver of the public represented on Twitter as well as who amongst that slice chose to take part in anyone dialog,” the find out about’s authors mentioned in their file.

Using a pc instrument programme that analyzes the context of social media posts, the year-long Pew learn about in comparison social media data with public opinion surveys taken with eight major American news situations including the 2012 presidential election, debates, and speeches by means of US President Barack Obama.

In The majority of the cases examined by using the Pew Middle, Twitter correspondence was inconsistent with public opinion, “a mirrored image of the truth that folks that get information on Twitter – and specifically folks who tweet news – are very completely different demographically from the general public”, Pew researchers stated.

For Instance in February 2012, a US federal Courtroom dominated that a California law banning same-intercourse marriage used to be unconstitutional, researchers discovered that 46 per cent of the reaction on Twitter was once positive with Best eight per cent of Tweets reflecting a negative tone.

However public opinion surveys measured in a Pew nationwide poll had an awfully completely different consequence. Of those who had heard concerning the ruling 44 per cent indicated they were dissatisfied or indignant with the judgment whereas 33 per cent of respondents mentioned they were pleased with the outcome.

Pew researchers discovered this pattern remained real During the 2012 presidential campaign.

All The Way Through the primary presidential debate when polls showed Republican contender Mitt Romney gave a greater performance than Obama, the tweets about Romney were much more vital consistent with a Pew prognosis of social media reaction.

Social networking websites together with Facebook and Twitter are basically made from youthful users with a pro-Democratic lean, the Pew Center discovered. But when it comes to tweets, that bias shouldn’t be all the time apparent, as general negativity tends to dominate conversations.

“The response on Twitter to Obama’s second inaugural address and his 2012 State of the Union used to be not virtually as positive as public opinion,” researchers suggested.

The Lack of consistent similarities between Twitter reaction and public opinion is why media trade consultants warning news retailers in opposition to providing social media reaction with out extra context.

“We Will no doubt speak about the Twitter reaction, However we won’t generalize it,” Regina McCombs, a member of the multimedia and cell journalism college at the nonprofit journalism faculty, The Poynter Institute, informed RIA Novosti.

“Handiest Eighty Five p.c of individuals in the united states use the web,” mentioned McCombs, adding that Only Sixteen per cent of those customers are on Twitter. “We simply should not use it as a proxy for what everyone is thinking,” she stated.

Of the eight occasions the Pew Middle tracked, there were Handiest two circumstances where the Twitter response mirrored public opinion: Romney’ number of Rep. Paul Ryan as his running mate and the Supreme Court Docket’s ruling on Obama’s Reasonably Priced Care Act, overhauling the us health insurance gadget.




14 Comments to “Twitter reaction doesn’t reflect public opinion: Research”

  1. I read an article on a survey by the Pew Research Center , not surprisingly younger people reportedly spent more time on the computer and sent / received many more text messages than older people, but those surveyed apparently said social values and morality are where older and younger people differ most . I must admit to actively rebelling against my parents wishes occasionally , but deep down I respect their values.
    What do you think ?

  2. with similar numbers includiong gasp – Rasmussen

    Stephanie Condon /
    CBS News/ December 4, 2012, 10:09 AM
    Poll: GOP to blame if “fiscal cliff” talks fail

    Negotiations with Republicans over the so-called “fiscal cliff” may be slow going for President Obama, but a new survey shows the president has the public on his side.

    If Washington fails to avert the “cliff” — triggering a series of spending cuts and tax hikes at the start of the new year, possibly dragging the economy into another recession — most Americans, 53 percent, would blame congressional Republicans, according to a Pew Research Center poll. Just 27 percent would blame Mr. Obama, according to the poll, conducted Nov. 28 – Dec. 2.

  3. SKATEskum // April 23, 2013 at 01:09 // Reply

    I used Google scholar and it gave me a research paper from the pew research center. Is this considered a scholarly article? It says it’s not peer reviewed.
    but the authors are research specialists and interns

  4. Which one is correct and why?

    According to the Pew Research (Centers’ / Center’s) study data, most of the adults can get a good education.

  5. A poll last summer by the Pew Research Center Forum on Religion and Public Life revealed that 92 percent of Americans believe in some form of God, while 78 percent identify themselves as Christians. And while they express some concern about the mixing of politics and religion, there has never been much outcry about players from both teams gathering after a football game to kneel together in prayer.
    The Steelers aren’t as public about their religious beliefs, but many consider themselves devout Christians and can sometimes be seen in locker rooms or on airplanes reading their Bibles. Safety Troy Polamalu brings teammates to services at his Eastern Orthodox Christian church,

    “It’s really through the Lord’s strength that I’ve been able to cope with this,” Smith said.

    Compared to that, crediting God for helping on the field seems almost trite, though that doesn’t stop athletes from doing it all the time. Football players tend to do it more often than others, perhaps because they could be permanently injured on almost any play. But there are baseball players who point to the sky every time they touch home plate and golfers who believe that God gave them the peace within to win major championships.
    your team? that is funny? Why don’t you tell your team how much you despise Christians. Why don’t you tell Polamalu and then ask him for his signature? IF your at the parade today, I would be willing to introduce you to him. What do you say? put your money where your mouth is?

  6. Xavier Hawthorne // May 23, 2013 at 23:32 // Reply

    I know republicans dont believe any polls except Fox News ( which is why they were so surprised on election night ) but the majority of Americans say they would blame the republican congress.

    If Washington fails to avert the “cliff” — triggering a series of spending cuts and tax hikes at the start of the new year, possibly dragging the economy into another recession — most Americans, 53 percent, would blame congressional Republicans, according to a Pew Research Center poll. Just 27 percent would blame Mr. Obama, according to the poll, conducted Nov. 28 – Dec. 2.


    Only 27% said they’d blame Obama. I think people are getting wise to this republican war on anything that would better the country just for political gain. I think its going to backfire on them this time.

  7. Some research centers are usually one side or another. Is this true of Pew?

  8. musicistabest // May 28, 2013 at 09:00 // Reply

    Polls show that more Americans will blame Republicans, instead of Obama and Democrats, if there is no deal and the nation goes over the fiscal cliff.

    A Washington Post/Pew Research Center survey released Tuesday put the margin at 53%-27% in citing Republicans or Obama.

    Are Republicans going to budge in the face of overwhelming blame.

  9. President Obama just got a boost as he heads into a showdown with Republicans over reducing the deficit to avoid $1.2 trillion in 10-year budget cuts due to begin hitting March 1. Bloomberg released a poll late Wednesday that gave Obama his highest job-approval rating in three years, with 55 percent of those surveyed giving him a thumbs up. At the same time, the poll put the popularity of Republicans at its lowest point since Bloomberg began measuring in September 2009, with just 35 percent saying they view the GOP favorably. The GOP’s brand has slipped six percentage points in the last six months alone.

    Predictably, the news triggered a wave of gloating from Obama’s supporters. “Americans just aren’t buying what Republicans are selling,” says Steve Benen at MSNBC. And Bloomberg’s poll results aren’t even the worst new numbers showing just how bad the GOP’s predicament is. “That prize goes to a new USA Today/Pew Research Center poll,” Benen says, in which nearly half of Americans blame the GOP for the looming budget fiasco — known as the sequester — while only a hair more than 30 percent blame Democrats.

    With a week to go before the sequestration deadline hits, GOP leaders are convinced they can win a public-relations fight with the White House because, conservatives believe, Americans will blame Obama for the dangerous sequester policy that Republicans championed.

    This poll suggests the GOP isn’t just wrong, its understanding of public attitudes is the exact opposite of reality. The public is prepared to hold Republicans responsible for this self-inflicted wound that will undermine the economy, the military, and public needs. The one thing the GOP is counting on — avoiding blame at all costs — is already failing miserably. [MSNBC]

    Republicans can call this the “Obamaquester” all they want, suggests Joe Gandelman at The Moderate Voice, but the public sees through it. Yes, Obama originally backed the idea as a way to wriggle out of the debt-ceiling crisis in 2011, but House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) “was a cheerleader… for it two years ago,” too. And today, “more Americans will blame it on the Republican Party than on Obama, no matter what Fox News, Sean Hannity or conservative bloggers say.” Why? Obama says spending on infrastructure, education, and alternative energy will create more jobs than the GOP obsession with slashing taxes and spending — and the president’s approach is closer to what most Americans want. “GOPers continue playing to their choir,” Gandelman says, “while Obama is successfully addressing a larger pool of Americans and is (for now) changing some minds.”

    “President Obama has staked out positions that seem to be closer to the public’s thinking than the positions Republicans have staked out,” Michael Dimock, director of the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, tells USA Today.

  10. Kristian // June 1, 2013 at 07:02 // Reply

    Which one is correct and why?

    According to the Pew Research (Centers’ / Center’s) study data, most of the adults can get a good education.

  11. “During his tenure, Huntsman cut taxes by more than $400 million—the largest tax cut in the state’s history—while still maintaining a budget surplus and Utah was named the “Best Managed State in America” by Pew Research Center.”

    I actually got this quote from his Wikipedia and not his official website. I need to look into this candidate more.

  12. -12/5/10 LA Times: A new Pew Research Center poll shows that majorities in Pakistan, Egypt, Jordan and Nigeria would favor changing the current laws to allow stoning as a punishment for adultery, hand amputation for theft and death for those who convert from Islam to another religion.
    samir_sol brags about the low crime rate under Islam.

    Mr. samir_sol, Nazi Germany had an even lower crime rate.

  13. Sriram R // June 7, 2013 at 00:58 // Reply

    “The Pew Research Center says despite the conventional shorthand of “red America” and “blue America” most Americans can’t be characterized as either liberal or conservative, according to a survey released last month.

    Pew concluded that ‘despite talk of culture wars’ there has been no polarization of the public into liberal an conservative camps.’ ”
    (See Philadelphia Inquirer Paul Nussbaum)

    Who does it help when America is divided?
    – serious comments please –

  14. Alina Elliott // June 7, 2013 at 17:37 // Reply

    George Bush’s six years in office have so damaged the image of the US that people worldwide see Washington as a bigger threat to world peace than Tehran, according to a global poll.
    The Washington-based Pew Research Centre, in a poll of 17,000 people in 15 countries between March and May, found more people concerned about the US presence in Iraq than about Iran’s alleged nuclear weapons ambitions.
    The Pew Centre said: “Despite growing concern over Iran’s nuclear ambitions, the US presence in Iraq is cited at least as often as Iran – and in many countries much more often – as a danger to world peace.”
    As I predicted Ohio Sens. DeWine and Voinovich voted with the Republican party and against the people they represent. They both were sent letters from the public requesting them to support Kerry-Feingold. The vote was 86-13 to pull out of Iraq by July 1, 2007.
    They voted with Republicans because they love war, they love killing, they send others to do the dirty work for them. They love to money it makes the Party and the parties supporters. Defense contractors then send the Money back to Congress in the form of bribes. Supporters love the stock income and nice tax breaks so they send money to Congress as bribes.
    Many followed Hitler blindly to their death. Now follow your leader and go to Iraq and fight for your leader. You do support the troops right? You are willing to fight for what you believe in, right?
    It’s about Money and power, not what the people voice.
    Wow, 15 mins. and no hateful name calling. All the neocons must be in Iraq fighting now.
    The Iraq war will cost working class tax payers $2 trillion over the next 10 years. The civilian war there now will never end. All sides want control of the oil and money. “America should not be in the nation building”, GW Bush in debates.
    wise vibes, you are not in Iraq now are you?
    I paid more in taxes than you will earn in total in your lifetime. You need to read more and watch Fox less. Also take a break from Rush and the Video games.
    Btw, for those neo-cons who don’t read any. A full 75 percent of Americans now think Iraq was a mistake. The problem is that Congress does not care what Americans think or want, they don’t have to go to Iraq and fight and die. They get to stay home and take bribes from Defense contractors. Also read about the 350,000 trips Congress took on your dime last year alone.
    John J, you need to read more. Read about the equal powers of Congress and the President. Now you have your homework. Also are you even aware that GW Bush took a oath to protect and defend the constitution he is now trashing?. Also read some about Hitler.

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